Global Warming Science: www.appinsys.com/GlobalWarming
Hot / Cold
[last update: 2021/06/28]
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Alarm
Climate alarmists portray heat waves as a major killer that will increase in the future. What they dont say is that cold is a much larger killer that would be reduced in a warming world.
Last month, a landmark study in Nature Climate Change made headlines around the world. Rising temperatures from global warming increase the number of heat deaths, now causing more than a third of heat deaths, or about 100,000 deaths per year. Obviously, this is a powerful narrative to justify urgent climate policies.
But the study left out glaring truths that even its own authors have abundantly documented. Heat deaths are declining in countries with good data, likely because of ever more air conditioning. This is abundantly clear for the United States, which has seen increasing hot days since 1960 affecting a much greater population. Yet, the number of heat deaths has more than halved. https://crywnews.com/politics/climate-change-coverage-ignores-heavy-impact-of-heat-on-cold-deaths/
From the above article: In The Lancet, some of the same authors estimated recent changes in full-year heat and cold deaths from the 1990s to the 2010s. Reliably, they found that heat deaths increased, but cold deaths decreased even more for all regions and, on average, twice as much. This suggests that leaving out cold deaths flips the central message.
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The Data
US EPA: Cold related deaths exceed heat related deaths:
Lining up the scales on the above two graphs shows the comparison on the same scale (cold-realted deaths on the left):
US CDC: Cold related deaths about twice heat related deaths: Based on information from death certificates, 10,649 deaths were attributed to weather-related causes in the United States during 20062010. Nearly one-third of the deaths were attributed to excessive natural heat, and almost two-thirds were attributed to excessive natural cold https://www.cdc.gov/nchs/data/nhsr/nhsr076.pdf
A new study published in The Lancet shows 6.5% of deaths in this country [US] are attributed to cold weather, compared with 0.5% from hot weather. https://theconversation.com/cold-weather-is-a-bigger-killer-than-extreme-heat-heres-why-42252
Life, Death, and Climate: Advocates of reducing greenhouse gases typically assert that a warmer climate would increase disease and deaths worldwide. But fortunately those zealots are wrong. In fact, a warmer world would be world with fewer fatalities. Cold, not heat, is the biggest killer as more and more researchers are finding. https://web.stanford.edu/~moore/HealthBenefitsofWarmer.html
Chicago Starting with 1996, there have been nearly twice as many cold-related deaths as heat-related (Cold: 1,044; Heat: 585), and the yearly average also is nearly double (Cold: 52.8; Heat: 30.7)
The World Cold temperatures kill about 20 times as many people worldwide as hot temperatures do, say Canadian and international researchers who challenge conventional wisdom that extreme weather events cause the most deaths. In a study published Wednesday in the medical journal The Lancet, researchers analyzed data on 74 million deaths across countries with climates ranging from cold to subtropical between 1985 and 2012.
The Canadian findings showed nearly 4.5 per cent of deaths in this country over the study period were due to cold compared with 0.5 per cent for heat.
US Heat Waves The corporate media and government alarmists sound the alarm about the increase in heat waves since the 1960s. They neglect to mention the first half of the 20th century. The following figure shows the heat wave intensity index for the contiguous US.
https://www.epa.gov/climate-indicators/climate-change-indicators-heat-waves
The EPA also uses the misleading 1960s start point. Heat waves are occurring more often than they used to in major cities across the United States.
A previous (2017) version of the same data shows that the EPA has reduced the heat waves of the 1920s and 1940s in the above graph.
https://science2017.globalchange.gov/chapter/6/
From the US government Fourth National Assessment Report:
https://science2017.globalchange.gov/chapter/6/
The above graphs / maps show that for most US locations, the coldest temperatures have been warming (left map/graph), while the warmest temperatures have been cooling (right map/graph).
Also: https://cliffmass.blogspot.com/2019/06/the-seattle-times-story-on-massive-heat.html
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