Global Warming Science - www.appinsys.com/GlobalWarming
Global Warming Refugees
[last update: 2011/03/16]
UN: 50 Million Climate Refugees by 2010
The United Nations claimed there would be 50 million climate refugees by 2010. But since their alarmist claims have turned out to be bogus they removed the page:
Page not
found (error 404)
However, Google cache still retained it as of 2011/04/15:
And the map link on the cached Google page still brought up the original map: Download this graphic in pdf format, 934 KB, Click here for the full size map as a PNG
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From the Map
The UN 50 million refugee map shown above makes many false claims. A couple of examples follow:
Sahel, Africa - Drought
Since the 1980s, the vegetation has been increasing in the Sahel. The following figure shows the Normalized Difference Vegetation Index (NDVI), showing substantial increases throughout most of the region. [http://www.eoearth.org/article/Greening_of_the_Sahel].
NDVI (Normalized Difference Vegetation Index) 1982 - 1999
The following figure shows observed NDVI trend for the Sahel from another study. [http://www.biogeosciences-discuss.net/5/3045/2008/bgd-5-3045-2008.pdf]
Even the normally alarmist National Geographic admits it: “Sahara Desert Greening Due to Climate Change?”, July 2009 [http://news.nationalgeographic.com/news/2009/07/090731-green-sahara.html]: “Desertification, drought, and despair—that's what global warming has in store for much of Africa. Or so we hear. Emerging evidence is painting a very different scenario, one in which rising temperatures could benefit millions of Africans in the driest parts of the continent. Scientists are now seeing signals that the Sahara desert and surrounding regions are greening due to increasing rainfall. … Images taken between 1982 and 2002 revealed extensive regreening throughout the Sahel, according to a new study in the journal Biogeosciences. … "Now you have people grazing their camels in areas which may not have been used for hundreds or even thousands of years. You see birds, ostriches, gazelles coming back, even sorts of amphibians coming back," he said. "The trend has continued for more than 20 years. It is indisputable."”
See: http://www.appinsys.com/GlobalWarming/RS_Sahel.htm for more info
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Bangladesh – Sea Level Rise / Flooding
“Of all of the effects of climate change, sea level rise may pose the most pervasive challenge for Bangladesh. Nearly the entire country is a vast, flat delta, where even a modest climb in the height of the Bay of Bengal could push water deep inland if it weren't for the protective barriers along the coast. … Considering elevation alone, even a one-metre rise would swallow about 15 to 20 per cent of Bangladesh's land area, where about 20 million people live today. But such estimates can be misleading, since they leave out some crucial factors. For one thing, Bangladesh's delta is now expanding, as sediments settle along the coast and create new land. "It's adding nearly 20 square kilometres a year in the coastal areas," says Maminul Haque Sarker, a morphologist at the Center for Environmental and Geographic Information Services (CEGIS) in Dhaka. His recent analysis7 of satellite images shows that Bangladesh has been gaining land for decades, and old maps from the early colonial era suggest the country has been growing this way for centuries, says Sarker.”
See: http://www.appinsys.com/GlobalWarming/Bangladesh.htm
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Where are the Climate Refugees?
Sunday Times, June 17, 2008: “UN warns of growth in climate change refugees” [http://www.timesonline.co.uk/tol/news/environment/article4159923.ece]
Sudan – Darfur Refugees Blamed on Climate Change
From the above “UN warns” article:
From History.com [http://www.history.com/topics/darfur-conflict]
Uganda – Rwenzori Mountain Glacier Disappearance Will Cause Refugees
From the above “UN warns” article: From a UNEP report on “Rwenzori Mountains National Park” [http://www.unep-wcmc.org/sites/wh/pdf/Rwenzori.pdf] “At this rate snow and ice are predicted to disappear from the Rwenzori Mountains within the next two to three decades (Taylor, 2003). But the glaciers make such a small contribution to river flow that their disappearance will have a negligible effect on water supplies.”
See also: http://www.appinsys.com/GlobalWarming/GW_4CE_Glaciers.htm#mtkili for more info on the Rwenzori glaciers: “climatic change in East Africa was concentrated at the end of the 19th century, leaving a humid regime behind and leading to a relatively dry regime, which is forcing the recession of glaciers not only by less accumulation but also — as made clear in this paper — by less protection against shortwave radiation through clouds.”
Haiti - Deforestation
From the above “UN warns” article: “Mr Nuttall … In Haiti, he said, deforestation and the resulting erosion of fertile topsoil was contributing to conflict”
[http://www.usatoday.com/weather/hurricane/2004-09-23-haiti-deforest_x.htm]
So Nuttall conflates man-made deforestation with “climate change”.
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The Deniers
Gavin Atkins wrote an article called “What happened to the climate refugees?” in which he shows population increases in the locations where everyone is supposed to be fleeing do to “climate change”. [http://asiancorrespondent.com/52189/what-happened-to-the-climate-refugees/]
The following comment is on Atkins’ web site linked above:
This is the same Nick Nuttall quoted in the Times Online article quoted above in the “Where are the climate refugees?” section above.
UNEP Web Page as of April 16, 2011:
[http://www.unep.org/Documents.Multilingual/Default.asp?DocumentID=538&ArticleID=5842&l=en]
The United Nations has an agenda of wealth transfer that is the real reason for all of the lies about climate change. Ottmar Edenhofer, Joint Chair of IPCC Working Group3 stated:
See: http://www.appinsys.com/GlobalWarming/UN_AGWscam.htm
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